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Topic: Time Trial Proposal for the Knoxville Nationals Email this topic to a friend | Subscribe to this TopicReport this Topic to Moderator
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straight shooter
August 17, 2015 at 01:14:03 PM
Joined: 03/21/2010
Posts: 311
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Posted By: ThrowbackRacingTeam on August 17 2015 at 12:46:01 PM

Better track prep/no wings= problem solved



How about #1 pill draw run 1 lap and on down the line to the last pill draw of the evening. Reverse pill draw order for 2nd lap meaning #1 pill draw would run his 2nd lap as the last timt trialer of the night. Average out the 2 laps & determine the time trial results.



revjimk
August 17, 2015 at 01:22:42 PM
Joined: 09/14/2010
Posts: 7657
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Posted By: straight shooter on August 17 2015 at 01:14:03 PM

How about #1 pill draw run 1 lap and on down the line to the last pill draw of the evening. Reverse pill draw order for 2nd lap meaning #1 pill draw would run his 2nd lap as the last timt trialer of the night. Average out the 2 laps & determine the time trial results.



Interesting idea, but it would probably take more time...



sprint2j
August 17, 2015 at 02:22:54 PM
Joined: 12/07/2010
Posts: 18
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Run two sets of time trials and invert the second set then average both times together. 




shernernum
August 17, 2015 at 02:35:52 PM
Joined: 08/28/2014
Posts: 397
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Posted By: sscott on August 16 2015 at 11:44:10 PM

At the risk of drawing the wrath of all those from this forum opposed to any change in the Nationals , I would like to offer a suggestion for scoring at the Nationals.  It was common to hear people talk about the timing discrepancies between those who timed early and those who timed in late on Wednesday and Thursday of this year's nationals.   Here is data from this year's qualifying nights.  The average position of the first ten cars to time on Wednesay was 15.4.  The average position of the last ten cars to time on Wednesday was 33.8.  Seven of the last ten to time timed 31st or worse.  Of the top ten times, five of them came from the first ten to time trial.  Only Paul McMahan broke into the top ten from the last ten to time.  

On Thursday, Kevin Ingle was the first to time in and timed 55th out of 57.  The next ten to time, however, averaged to time in at 14.8.  The last ten to time averaged to finish at 41.3.  The best time of the last ten to time was turned in by Billy Alley who timed in 27th.  

IF you look at the top ten times from each night (a total of 20 drivers), only Paul McMahan came from the last ten cars to time.  Only one!!  Eight of the 20 came from the first ten cars to time.  

I am not proposing to eliminate time trials.  What I am proposing is softening up their impact.  Currently, there is a two point gap between each position.  Using the averages above, the final ten to time on Wednesday were giving up 18.4 spots (33.8-15.4) which equals almost 37 points to those in the top ten just because of the luck of the draw.   On Thursday, the gap was wider, as the last ten to time, gave up an average of 26.5 spots or 53 points to their competitors who had the good fortune to draw one of those first ten timing spots.  A deficit that large is pretty hard to overcome and is due in large part to the luck of the draw.  

A possibile solution?  Decrease the point differential between each time trial spot to one point instead of the traditional two points.  I would propose that the three point differential in the heats and the two point differential in the features remain.  This would soften the impact of being on the wrong end of the draw, and put more emphasis on the heat races and features.  Best of all, this wouldn't change the format of the Nationals at all, most fans wouldn't even notice there was a change.

This would increase the fairness of the event which I think most would agree is important at any sporting event.

Now I am interested to see how many in the forum tear this one apart.



The only real problem I have is that so much depends on that time-trial lap, but damned if I am smart enough to come up with a perfect solution.

I will say, that unlike all the other spitballing that goes on around here, I appreciate tremendously the fact that you backed up your proposal with hard data.  I'm sure it took some work, but thanks for that.  It is surely better than someone who comes on and says, "that racing stunk, they should change it."

At the same time, I don't think it matters what format you run at KNoxville right now.  Barring losing another cylinder, Schatz is light years ahead of anybody else.  The other thing is this, look at the rundown.  If we had run a poll last week and asked every knowledgable sprint car fan in the country to pick who would finish in the top 15 of the Knoxville A-Main by the end of the week, I bet if we averaged everybody's lists together it would have looked pretty similar to what actually happened Saturday night, so one way or the other, the teams that are the "best" ended up getting the best finishes and that is what is supposed to happen at Knoxville.



VoiceOfTheSpeedway
August 17, 2015 at 02:55:27 PM
Joined: 06/18/2005
Posts: 196
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Just based on what i've been told (I haven't researched this)...but are the time trials worth the same amount of points as say the A Main?......it that's true, it dosen't seem right....I'd suggest 25% of you night's points based on time trials, 25% based on heat race finish, and the final 50% based on your feature finish...that puts the most emphasis on RACING not the luck of the draw and/or track conditions....a deeper invert (6) and more heat race laps (10) would also help  (inverting 4 and taking 3 in an 8 lap heat race w/ 10 or more cars-ala the Capitani, just didn't seem right, but it DID the the HITTERS they wanted in the A Main).........comments?.................SC



Johnny Utah
August 17, 2015 at 03:14:00 PM
Joined: 07/15/2014
Posts: 1229
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I wonder... would we be looking for changes to the system if the same guy didn't win nine out of the last ten races?




cubfan07
August 17, 2015 at 03:25:13 PM
Joined: 06/01/2007
Posts: 586
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Posted By: dollansky_7_fan on August 17 2015 at 01:05:31 AM

The nationals are still about perfection. The draw will always suck, but the points will always reflect the same.



After Saturday is in the books, the cream always rises to the top. Just look at the A-Main starters. Also, look at Bob Weuve. Sure, he qualified top 10 on Wednesday but after the dust settled on Saturday he was 20th in the D-Main.

I do think splitting qualifying would still make for better racing on Wednesday/Thursday though. It definetely helped make the heat races more exciting on Friday.


-Austin Rankin

revjimk
August 17, 2015 at 03:50:51 PM
Joined: 09/14/2010
Posts: 7657
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Posted By: Johnny Utah on August 17 2015 at 03:14:00 PM

I wonder... would we be looking for changes to the system if the same guy didn't win nine out of the last ten races?



probably not...



YungWun24
August 17, 2015 at 03:54:28 PM
Joined: 01/19/2009
Posts: 1193
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I don't mind the format now as it seems the cream will always rise to the top...

If you put more points emphasis in the heats and less on the time trials how do you not reward the sandbaggers then? 


Keep It Real


mcweld
August 17, 2015 at 04:12:33 PM
Joined: 03/11/2008
Posts: 94
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Posted By: ThrowbackRacingTeam on August 17 2015 at 12:46:01 PM

Better track prep/no wings= problem solved



The Nationals are run with wings if you want non-wing sprints they run weekly in California and Indiana. 


Gary Allbuagh

MissouriSprintFan
August 17, 2015 at 04:17:00 PM
Joined: 09/13/2008
Posts: 419
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Posted By: VoiceOfTheSpeedway on August 17 2015 at 02:55:27 PM

Just based on what i've been told (I haven't researched this)...but are the time trials worth the same amount of points as say the A Main?......it that's true, it dosen't seem right....I'd suggest 25% of you night's points based on time trials, 25% based on heat race finish, and the final 50% based on your feature finish...that puts the most emphasis on RACING not the luck of the draw and/or track conditions....a deeper invert (6) and more heat race laps (10) would also help  (inverting 4 and taking 3 in an 8 lap heat race w/ 10 or more cars-ala the Capitani, just didn't seem right, but it DID the the HITTERS they wanted in the A Main).........comments?.................SC



Yes, the Time Trials are the same point breakdown as the A Main. 200 for fast time/feature win. Then a two point drop per position. The heats are 100 points for first, with a three point drop per position. The first four transfer to the A, second four to the B, and last two plus any cars that timed 51st or higher go to the C. For the 410 Nationals the heats are 10 car, 10 lap heats, with an 8 car invert. It used to be a full invert, but they changed it to 8 several years ago. I preferred the total inverts, but I do understand why they changed it. 

 

Personally, I think the format is great and I hope they don't make any major changes. It's tough, but it's the Nationals, it should be tough. I understand the complaint about too much emphasis on Time Trials on an ever changing track, but taking the emphasis off can lead th sandbagging to get a better starting spot in the heats. I'm for leaving it alone. 

 

It can't be too broke. A couple of young guys I know, who have only been to one other spring car race, have heard me talk about the Nationals a lot. They'be been wanting to go for a few years, but it's never worked out. They decided to go Thursday night. On the way, one of them text me wanting to know who they needed to watch. I took a look at Thursday night's qualifiers and text him a list of who I thought were the top 16 to watch. 14 of the 16 made the A Main. The top 6, 10 of the top 12, 12 of the top 15, and the other two dropped out with mechanical problems (Swindell and Shaffer.) That tells me it ain't broke, if the cream is still rising to the top. 

 

 



dsc1600
August 17, 2015 at 04:19:32 PM
Joined: 05/31/2007
Posts: 4408
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Posted By: VoiceOfTheSpeedway on August 17 2015 at 02:55:27 PM

Just based on what i've been told (I haven't researched this)...but are the time trials worth the same amount of points as say the A Main?......it that's true, it dosen't seem right....I'd suggest 25% of you night's points based on time trials, 25% based on heat race finish, and the final 50% based on your feature finish...that puts the most emphasis on RACING not the luck of the draw and/or track conditions....a deeper invert (6) and more heat race laps (10) would also help  (inverting 4 and taking 3 in an 8 lap heat race w/ 10 or more cars-ala the Capitani, just didn't seem right, but it DID the the HITTERS they wanted in the A Main).........comments?.................SC



Would encourage massive sandbagging my friend. This current format encourages going as fast as possible every time you go on the track.




MadManMadsen
August 17, 2015 at 04:42:23 PM
Joined: 05/18/2010
Posts: 126
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This message was edited on August 17, 2015 at 04:46:43 PM by MadManMadsen

Just for fun I did a quick (and very un-official) point calculation based on the OP's suggestion of only 1 point drop between time trial spots.  Here are the top 26 :

New Pos    Driver (Old Pos)                                       (New Points)

1 Kerry Madsen (2) 493
2 Donny Schatz (1) 492
3 David Gravel  (3) 486
4 Danny Lasoski (6) 485
5 Terry McCarl  (8) 483
6 Joey Saldana  (4) 481
7 Jason Johnson (9) 481
8 Paul McMahan  (7) 478
9 Shane Stewart  (12) 477
10 Brad Sweet  (5) 476
11 Daryn Pittman  (15) 471
12 Sheldon Haudenschild  (10) 469
13 Lucas Wolfe  (13) 468
14 Wayne Johnson  (17) 468
15 Justin Henderson  (20) 467
16 Brian Brown  (14) 466
17 Rico Abreu  (16) 465
18 Dale Blaney  (11) 464
19 James McFadden (24) 462
20 Greg Hodnett  (25) 460
21 Stevie Smith  (23) 459
22 Cody Darrah  (18) 453
23 Sammy Swindell  (19) 452
24 Davey Heskin  (30) 452
25 Danny Dietrich  (29) 451
26 Tasker Phillips  (21) 450

Noteable changes: Kerry Madsen on the pole. Lasoski moves up 2 spots.  Terry Mccarl up 3 spots.  Sweet drops 5 spots.  Shane Stewart moves up 3.  Rico drops to 17 (and the haters rejoice).  Blaney drops 7 spots to 18.  Wayne Johnson and Justin Henderson lock in.  

So ultimately the same drivers lock in (with 2 exceptions) with some mix up in starting order.  Odds are Schatz wins, people still complain because he was on the front row.  Does Lasoski starting a row up help him or does he still fade at the end?  Does Sweet starting 5 spots back keep him from the podium?  Does Stewart moving up 3 spots help him move up faster and contend?????? The world will never know.  But it is still an interesting and valid suggestion.



oldsprint27
August 17, 2015 at 04:46:52 PM
Joined: 09/21/2005
Posts: 65
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The Time Trials are worth the same points as the "A" Main because the Heats are inverted a full 8 spots.  With a full 8 spot invert you are really penalizing the fastest cars a lot in the heats.  Therefore it sort of evens things out and makes for a great deal of pressure to do good each time you hit the track....  

 

 

 



sscott
August 17, 2015 at 07:36:05 PM
Joined: 07/21/2014
Posts: 12
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Thanks to MadManMadsen for taking the time to check to see how things would have been different if my proposal was the format.  First off, I am one of the few that isn't upset that Schatz won again this year.  While I am not a big Schatz fan, I am in awe of the streak he has going over the past ten years.  Over the last two years, I have found myself pulling for him hoping that he has a chance someday to match or pass Steve Kinser's 11 wins, a feat I thought would never be replicated.  

Thus, my concern with time trials has nothing to do with Donny Schatz.  I was most concerned for guys like Shane Stewart, who in my mind was the one guy that could seriously challenge Donny this year, but ended up timing so late, he timed 18th which set him back about five rows Saturday night.  According to MadMan, Stewart would have started two rows ahead of where he did, that might have made a difference, maybe not. 

The current time trial format also hurt some pretty established teams:  Jac Haudenschild, Craig Dollansky, Brady Bacon, Kevin Swindell, and Mark Dobmeier timed so poorly, they couldn't even make the eight car inversion.  They had to start their heats from the back row.  All five of them were among the last twenty cars to time.  Luckily for some of them, they had Friday's second chance night, but sadly, Kevin Swindell did not.

The one point proposal would have benefitted Terry McCarl by three spots, which seems good to me seeing as he won Thursday's Saturday feature.  

According to MadMan, Justin Henderson and Wayne Johnson would have made the A outright under the one point proposal.  Seeing as they finished fifth and sixth in Thursday's A feature, they probably deserved to be locked into Saturday's A main. Under my proposal, Schatz would still have been on the front row, so my proposal wouldn't have affected his chances at all.  He and Kerry Madsen would have just flipped sides.  

One last thought:  One comment said that the cream rose to the top on Thursday night anyway as that commentator mentioned that he predicted 14 of the 16 top cars.  The catch is that most of these guys qualified poorly and started their heats in the front row or two.  This helped them immensely on Thursday night, but when the points were tallied, many of them had point totals way to low to be locked into the top 16 for Saturday.  Thus their poor times helped them on Thursday, but hurt them on Saturday when it counts the most.  Two examples:  Dusty Zomer (51st to time), timed 33rd and started his heat in row two, Steve Kinser (46th time) timed 40th, and started on the pole of the fifth heat.  Neither had enough points to lock into the top 26 after Thursday.




blazer00
August 17, 2015 at 09:43:44 PM
Joined: 06/10/2015
Posts: 2420
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Posted By: oldsprint27 on August 17 2015 at 04:46:52 PM

The Time Trials are worth the same points as the "A" Main because the Heats are inverted a full 8 spots.  With a full 8 spot invert you are really penalizing the fastest cars a lot in the heats.  Therefore it sort of evens things out and makes for a great deal of pressure to do good each time you hit the track....  

 

 

 



You hit it right on. The heat invert used to be ten.....Steve Kinser also timed dead last one year and set quick time. That being said, what's happening at the Nationals is what seems to be happening all around right now with WoO style qualifying. Many have said it, the cream will rise to the top regardless. And it did again this year. It's still the best format for a two night deal with that large of feild of cars.



revjimk
August 17, 2015 at 10:08:12 PM
Joined: 09/14/2010
Posts: 7657
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Posted By: oldsprint27 on August 17 2015 at 04:46:52 PM

The Time Trials are worth the same points as the "A" Main because the Heats are inverted a full 8 spots.  With a full 8 spot invert you are really penalizing the fastest cars a lot in the heats.  Therefore it sort of evens things out and makes for a great deal of pressure to do good each time you hit the track....  

 

 

 



True. That makes it a lot more fair. A-Main also inverted 8



revjimk
August 17, 2015 at 10:10:52 PM
Joined: 09/14/2010
Posts: 7657
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Posted By: sscott on August 17 2015 at 07:36:05 PM

Thanks to MadManMadsen for taking the time to check to see how things would have been different if my proposal was the format.  First off, I am one of the few that isn't upset that Schatz won again this year.  While I am not a big Schatz fan, I am in awe of the streak he has going over the past ten years.  Over the last two years, I have found myself pulling for him hoping that he has a chance someday to match or pass Steve Kinser's 11 wins, a feat I thought would never be replicated.  

Thus, my concern with time trials has nothing to do with Donny Schatz.  I was most concerned for guys like Shane Stewart, who in my mind was the one guy that could seriously challenge Donny this year, but ended up timing so late, he timed 18th which set him back about five rows Saturday night.  According to MadMan, Stewart would have started two rows ahead of where he did, that might have made a difference, maybe not. 

The current time trial format also hurt some pretty established teams:  Jac Haudenschild, Craig Dollansky, Brady Bacon, Kevin Swindell, and Mark Dobmeier timed so poorly, they couldn't even make the eight car inversion.  They had to start their heats from the back row.  All five of them were among the last twenty cars to time.  Luckily for some of them, they had Friday's second chance night, but sadly, Kevin Swindell did not.

The one point proposal would have benefitted Terry McCarl by three spots, which seems good to me seeing as he won Thursday's Saturday feature.  

According to MadMan, Justin Henderson and Wayne Johnson would have made the A outright under the one point proposal.  Seeing as they finished fifth and sixth in Thursday's A feature, they probably deserved to be locked into Saturday's A main. Under my proposal, Schatz would still have been on the front row, so my proposal wouldn't have affected his chances at all.  He and Kerry Madsen would have just flipped sides.  

One last thought:  One comment said that the cream rose to the top on Thursday night anyway as that commentator mentioned that he predicted 14 of the 16 top cars.  The catch is that most of these guys qualified poorly and started their heats in the front row or two.  This helped them immensely on Thursday night, but when the points were tallied, many of them had point totals way to low to be locked into the top 16 for Saturday.  Thus their poor times helped them on Thursday, but hurt them on Saturday when it counts the most.  Two examples:  Dusty Zomer (51st to time), timed 33rd and started his heat in row two, Steve Kinser (46th time) timed 40th, and started on the pole of the fifth heat.  Neither had enough points to lock into the top 26 after Thursday.



"Thursday's Saturday feature"??

Use of time machines is definitely unfair....wink




lasoskifan
August 17, 2015 at 11:38:30 PM
Joined: 06/16/2005
Posts: 330
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Posted By: sscott on August 16 2015 at 11:44:10 PM

At the risk of drawing the wrath of all those from this forum opposed to any change in the Nationals , I would like to offer a suggestion for scoring at the Nationals.  It was common to hear people talk about the timing discrepancies between those who timed early and those who timed in late on Wednesday and Thursday of this year's nationals.   Here is data from this year's qualifying nights.  The average position of the first ten cars to time on Wednesay was 15.4.  The average position of the last ten cars to time on Wednesday was 33.8.  Seven of the last ten to time timed 31st or worse.  Of the top ten times, five of them came from the first ten to time trial.  Only Paul McMahan broke into the top ten from the last ten to time.  

On Thursday, Kevin Ingle was the first to time in and timed 55th out of 57.  The next ten to time, however, averaged to time in at 14.8.  The last ten to time averaged to finish at 41.3.  The best time of the last ten to time was turned in by Billy Alley who timed in 27th.  

IF you look at the top ten times from each night (a total of 20 drivers), only Paul McMahan came from the last ten cars to time.  Only one!!  Eight of the 20 came from the first ten cars to time.  

I am not proposing to eliminate time trials.  What I am proposing is softening up their impact.  Currently, there is a two point gap between each position.  Using the averages above, the final ten to time on Wednesday were giving up 18.4 spots (33.8-15.4) which equals almost 37 points to those in the top ten just because of the luck of the draw.   On Thursday, the gap was wider, as the last ten to time, gave up an average of 26.5 spots or 53 points to their competitors who had the good fortune to draw one of those first ten timing spots.  A deficit that large is pretty hard to overcome and is due in large part to the luck of the draw.  

A possibile solution?  Decrease the point differential between each time trial spot to one point instead of the traditional two points.  I would propose that the three point differential in the heats and the two point differential in the features remain.  This would soften the impact of being on the wrong end of the draw, and put more emphasis on the heat races and features.  Best of all, this wouldn't change the format of the Nationals at all, most fans wouldn't even notice there was a change.

This would increase the fairness of the event which I think most would agree is important at any sporting event.

Now I am interested to see how many in the forum tear this one apart.



Excellent suggestion. 



Anthony Corini
MyWebsite
August 18, 2015 at 08:46:12 AM
Joined: 08/14/2014
Posts: 165
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Actually an educated, logical thread on HH. Very interesting ideas. I agree pill draw is a tad too important but I have no idea how to fix it. 

I didn't think the format needed changing at all and then they introduced the new Friday format which is a big hit for me and many others. The Nationals team is always look to improve the biggest sprint car race every year. A strong car count of 100+ was nice to see. 





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